Currency Trading E-books - Another Way to Be Rich, Or to Be Poor?

Currency trading, or Forex trading as it is generally known, is the act of exchanging one country's currency for another. The way currency trading works is simple. You exchange the currency for better rates than they were before and therefore make money on the transaction. All currency traders are dreaming of learning new ways to make more money out of currency trading and many e-books out there promise to make them a truck of money with currency trading.

Now, many people have been complaining about this type of trading just being another scam that people use in order to get money for e-books, but at the same time it is important to realize that Forex trading is a legitimate type of investment that people use every single day in order to make a lot of money.

In general, there are far fewer scams online than you would think from reading the angry forum posts or e-mails of people that have misunderstood the instructions and ended up performing badly as a result. While nobody in their right mind would say that there are no scams online, the actual act of Forex trading is by no means a scam. Some of the e-books that are offered on the topic might very well be scams and that is definitely something that you need to guard against.

I am not saying that there are no good currency exchange e-books out there because it's not the truth. However I suggest you use caution when you have to pay for that kind of e-book. Better to be safe than sorry.

So, how do you figure out whether a particular Forex system is a scam? Well, short of buying it and trying it out on the free version of Forex trading software offered by many companies, there is not much that you can really do. This is why before you buy a Forex system e-book, you need to make sure that there is a no questions asked refund policy behind the purchase so that if you find it doesn't work, you can easily return it and get your money back. Most of the people that sell products of that type do include refund policies, but make sure that you know before you make the purchase that you can get a refund later on down the road.

Another good way to understand if a particular e-book might be a scam is to read up on Forex at the local library or in financial circles, thereby understanding exactly what Forex trading is and how it can make you money. If you do this and you understand what the experts are doing to make themselves money, you'll be better prepared to determine whether a particular e-book might make you money. However, you should never be hesitant to buy and try if there is a refund policy in place, because you can always get your money back if the system does not meet with your expectations.

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Reuters - The top three U.S. exchanges want regulators to adopt a "modified uptick rule" and a "circuit breaker" to curb abusive short selling, a trading strategy that profits from declining stocks.

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Trading Forex - Outlook For GBP-CHF

With financial markets in turmoil, press is full of speculation regarding US dollar and Euro. A lot of coverage is given to unprecedented commodities boom, especially record prices for oil and grains. Precious and industrial metals also draw a lot of attention. Credit and debt markets have been on front pages for a couple of years now. Let's not forget about stock markets, which, both in US and globally, are experiencing wild swings with seemingly no end in sight.

With so much going on, it's no wonder that some very large moves in currencies have escaped attention, or at least wide coverage. British Pound, for one, has not been mentioned as often as it deserves. Same goes to Swiss Franc, and by extension, the cross of these two currencies, GBP-CHF.

Despite being one of speculator's favorite financial vehicle, this pair seems to be living in a shadow of it's cousin, GBP-JPY, which gets far more coverage from Forex analysts. This fact is likely due to much more vaunted stature of Japanese Yen, while Swiss Franc is so much correlated to Euro, that has been loosing trading volume to other currencies, most notably both Australian and Canadian Dollars. By some accounts, even Swedish Krone has reached comparable trading volume about a year ago.

That is when Franc started to regain some of its past luster as a safe heaven during times of uncertainty and financial turmoil. Swiss central bank started to bust interest rates and CHF staged a very impressive rally, lasting better part of a year. Combined with bearish news coming from Great Brittan, GBP-CHF has seen the most severe sell off amongst CHF crosses.

Between July 2007 and March 2008 this pair fell from 2.5000 to 1.9375. That is a staggering 5600+ pips, a huge move by any standard. In fact, it has been first time in over 10 years, and only the second time ever, that this cross fell under 2.0000, a very important psychological level. As it is often the case in such furious moves, the price rebounded sharply from the March low to about 2.0960 and has since settled into a sideways movement.

This "settled price action" is a relative term and true only in light of past few month. Comparing to other currency pairs, daily moves are still large. Average True Range still shows a reading well over 200, and 300+ pips days are the norm. Just last Thursday daily range was over 420 pips. Certainly this kind of volatility demands respect and creates trading opportunities.

Extreme price fluctuations might make it unsuitable for some traders. Also, trading GBP-CHF on short time frames, might be an expensive proposition. The spread, cost of trading, is still relatively wide. Even though over last few years spreads narrowed down, they are still minimum of 6 pips, with 8-10 pips being the norm. In frequent trading, even the larger profit potential might not offset these costs.

Trading longer time frames might be a better proposition for most traders. The recent low of 1.9375 seems to be a major low, which is likely hold for the the rest of this year. As a matter of fact, patterns on long term charts, weekly and monthly, indicate this to be a multi year low. Long term up trend is expected for the rest of the year with a target of 2.1600-2.1800 over next few months. After that next target would be 2.3000 or perhaps even 2.3500, maybe a year later.

This kind of long term expectations should be reviewed and adjusted every few months. As of this writing, the price is around 2.0470, providing us with a substantial long term trading opportunity. Due to large volatility of this pair, one shouldn't use high leverage as there are almost sure to be severe pullbacks over time. While not suitable for everybody, GBP-CHF is certainly an exciting cross, worth of a closer look.

Mike P. Kulej is a Chief Forex Strategist for Spectrum Forex LLC. He specializes in mechanical trading systems as explained on http://www.spectrumforex.com Spectrum Forex LLC offers numerous services to individual traders. With questions and comments e-mail him at kulej@spectrumforex.com

Reuters - Investors are dubious that Wall Street's best week since November means the stock market has found a bottom.

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